Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.010361 0.012363 0.014816 0.018103 0.022485 0.028269 0.036742
2025-08-03 0.007854 0.010156 0.013332 0.018231 0.026000 0.038675 0.063115
2025-08-10 0.006345 0.008605 0.011956 0.017619 0.027754 0.047205 0.094894
2025-08-17 0.005267 0.007371 0.010645 0.016542 0.028080 0.053256 0.129650
2025-08-24 0.004530 0.006496 0.009675 0.015704 0.028424 0.059574 0.176513
2025-08-31 0.004154 0.006115 0.009422 0.016070 0.031388 0.074700 0.294477
2025-09-07 0.003735 0.005598 0.008830 0.015601 0.032246 0.084901 0.435349
2025-09-14 0.003365 0.005113 0.008215 0.014931 0.032334 0.092975 0.619752
2025-09-21 0.003131 0.004835 0.007938 0.014921 0.034227 0.110421 1.101928
2025-09-28 0.003005 0.004730 0.007971 0.015624 0.038597 0.146147 3.030374
2025-10-05 0.002960 0.004763 0.008281 0.017080 0.046406 0.220779 26.924675
2025-10-12 0.002844 0.004649 0.008266 0.017712 0.051844 0.301308 18692.169478
2025-10-19 0.002668 0.004421 0.008017 0.017771 0.055739 0.398015 NaN
2025-10-26 0.002512 0.004219 0.007802 0.017896 0.060369 0.549300 NaN
2025-11-02 0.002330 0.003944 0.007382 0.017300 0.061162 0.661666 NaN
2025-11-09 0.002141 0.003640 0.006855 0.016249 0.058929 0.704660 NaN
2025-11-16 0.001985 0.003390 0.006429 0.015431 0.057572 0.774156 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001910 0.003301 0.006370 0.015788 0.063500 1.206843 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001800 0.003128 0.006087 0.015331 0.064075 1.488228 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001689 0.002946 0.005767 0.014676 0.062931 1.688761 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001620 0.002847 0.005637 0.014667 0.066476 2.526693 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001587 0.002822 0.005693 0.015353 0.076366 6.053542 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001583 0.002862 0.005919 0.016774 0.095662 45.392205 NaN